Mediatrend

16

Authors: Mohtar Rasyid

The purpose of this paper is to describe the development of econometric time-series modeling from early development to contemporary issues. Economic structural model begins with the Keynesian macro model with a simple equation system to a system with hundreds of equations. One interesting issue in the econometric modeling of time series stationarity issue is the emergence of the new standards in advanced econometric analysis. The model system with a new approach known as VAR with emphasis in the data: let the data speak (let's Data talk). This model has become the new standard with variations VECM and several derivative models. This paper concludes with a brief discussion of new approaches to discuss the adjustments that are non-linear. Keyword: ekonometric modeling, vektor-autoregresion, non-linear adjustment.

19

Authors: Selamet Joko Utomo

This study analyzes the implementation of policies APBDes in improving rural development. In APBDes policy implementation is often in its execution is still a dominance of village government. APBDes policies should apply the principle of good governance that include participation, transparency and accountability so that the goal is done in village development can be achieved. Qualitative descriptive analysis techniques using domain analysis technique which uses the pattern of semantic relationships. The results show, that in the process of policy implementation APBDes held in the village of Bandung has not met the principles of Good Governance. In terms of community participation, the community has not been involved in policy-making process of development and community participation has not been instituted so that people do not have the power to influence policy-making, in terms of transparency, the village government is not open to the public in the financial management of the village where the people do not have access to know the size budget managed by the village government. In terms of accountability, accountability of village government in its financial management was limited to formal legal qualifies only, and not be accountable to the village where the government is accountable for the implementation of its development to the people they lead. Keywords: APBDes, Good Governance

26

Authors: Awang Tri Satria, Umar Burhan, Asfi Manzilati

This study aims to: 1) determine how actors in sharia microfinance institutions provide the perception toward the social function of the economic action undertaken. 2) determine the form of the social functions performed by the actors in sharia microfinance institutions. This study used a qualitative method with phenomenological approach. The findings of this study are: 1) the perception of the social function by the actors of sharia microfinance institutions respectively: a) perception of social function is as management of zakat, infaq, and alms known in the concept of Baitul Maal. b) the social function as a medium of empowerment of poor communities where the sharia microfinance institutions are capable in producing new entrepreneurs. c) the social function as propaganda/symbols of Islam, Islamic microfinance institutions serve to eradicate the practice of existing usurer in the community. 2) The form of social functions held by sharia microfinance institutions are: a) The distribution of social grants, the distribution of development aid in the form of mosques, procurement assistance of Al-Quran, home renovation, distribution of Zakat funds as well as scholarships to students who cannot afford school. b) Help the poor public capital, capital assistance is intended for the poor, capital assistance is also easy for small traders in accessing financing. c) Optimalization the role of sharia microfinance institutions by opening branches in remote areas which aim to facilitate the public in accessing Sharia financial institutions and also propaganda symbols of Islam in religious activities. Key words: Social Function, Form of Social Function, Sharia Microfinance Institutions

125-137

Authors: Setiani

This study aimsto analyzemodel and impact ofpolicy simulationin riceandmaizeproduction werecarried out bywet land farm households. The study was conductedin Kepuh Kembengvillage PeteronganDistrict Jombang Regency, East Java Province. This study using simultaneous equationsmodel and analyzed by syslin 2SLS. The results showedthat farm householdsproductionof riceandmaizeaffected bythe use ofinputssuch aslabor, ureaandTSP fertilizers. Farm householdrice and maize productiondetermineearned of totalprofit. Simulationsubsidypolicy of increasingprices of fertilizersmake lowerrice andcorncost production, finally increase profitabilityof rice, cornandtotalprofits of farm household. Keywords : Paddy and maize production, Wet land Farmer Household, Model and Policy Simulation

156-171

Authors: Tri Wahyuningsih

The aim of this study is the first, investigate and analyze how much employment in the agricultural sector in Buru; second, identify and analyze the level of labor productivity in the agricultural sector in Buru; Third, to know and analyze how much force multipliers agricultural sector in Buru; Fourth, make predictions employment in the agricultural sector from 2006 to 2020. The method used for analysis is the employment elasticity, labor productivity, employment multipliers, and pure forecasts. The results obtained are: First, the employment opportunities in the agricultural sector experienced in KabupatenBuru fluctuate every year, of which the highest employment have occurred in 2002 in the amount of 121.91 percent and the lowest employment occurred in 2010 amounted to -13, 41 percent, while in 2013 the agricultural sector employment reached 3.58 percent; Second, the level of labor productivity in the agricultural sector experienced the lowest Buru regency in 2012 amounted to 4.33 percent, whereas in 2013 the productivity of the agricultural sector by 3.87 percent; Third, another sector employment opportunities created by the agricultural sector in Buru is fluctuating. Increase employment opportunities in other sectors of the largest occurred in 2003 abaout5 people. While the lowest employment multiplier in the period 2001 to 2013 there were in 2012, namely 1 to 2; Fourth, using an assumption of employment elasticity of 3.58 and 17.56 for employment growth as experienced in 2013, the employment opportunities in the agricultural sector Buru expected to increase in 2016 to 2020. Kata Kunci: agriculture, employment opportunity, employment multipliyer, Labor productivity, labor forecasts

207-225

Authors: Ahmad Kamil

In 2008, the Department of Commerce of the Republic of Indonesia has launched a creative economic development documents interpreted the 2025 Indonesia became the starting point and guide the development of the creative economy in Indonesia. With the existence of this document, the industry and its stakeholders or other stakeholders can readily develop the creative economy in Indonesia. Economic development in the direction of the creative industries is one manifestation of optimism aspiration to support the Master Plan for the Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesia's Economic Development in realizing the vision of Indonesia are being developed nation. The main objective of this study is the first to analyze the role of the creative industries in Indonesia for labor, value added and productivity, secondly, to analyze the performance trend of the creative industries sector, and third, to analyze the factors affecting the performance of the creative industries sector in Indonesia. Under Indonesia Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) and codes 151-372 (manufacturing industries category) identified 18 industry groups belonging to the creative industries, showed that the performance of the national creative industries has been relatively high (in terms of trend analysis of the performance of the industrial creative). Furthermore, regression analysis of panel data (econometrics) indicates that company size (SIZE), wages for workers (WAGE) and the content of local inputs (LOCAL) has a significant impact on the performance of Indonesia's creative industry. Meanwhile, the concentration ratio (CR4) no consequences but have koresi significantly positive effect on the performance of Indonesia’s creative industry. Keywords: Developed Nation, Industry Performance, and Creative Industries.

242-267

Authors: Herry Yulistiyono

Gerdu-Taskin program in East Java is more geared to the pattern of development and program management more integrated and sustainable. The government's efforts through the Dinas Koperasi dan UMKM in East Java province in the empowerment of the poor began in 2002 until 2009.. In 2010 and 2011 the program continued with the name Movement Welfare Society Program (Gema Sejahtera). The activities carried out by providing funds for lending and borrowing taskin group incorporated in microfinance institutions (MFIs). Role of Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) in supporting SME activities interesting to study because the development of MFIs turned out in line with the development of SMEs.The purpose of this study is the evaluation of the performance of the Empowerment Program Gerdu Taskin is intended MFI to obtain information on the results of the impact of the poverty reduction program through the development of enterprises with the capital loan. Grants received by MFIs in Tuban has been used by the Micro, Small and guided them, in which 40% said their business progress after receiving funds Gerdu taskin of East Java province, while in Bojonegoro only 31.67% said no progress. This is quite reasonable given the characteristics and socio-economic circumstances in each different region. The main obstacle in the development aid Gerdu Taskin / Gema Sejahtera is a matter of human resources, venture capital is given, and the public perception of the program funding Gerdu Taskin / Gema Sejahtera.To develop MFIs in supporting the SME target is to improve the effectiveness of aid delivery program Gerdu Taskin/ Gema Sejahtera and prevent congestion at the level of beneficiaries of the revolving fund of funds. Another thing that must continue to be encouraged that increase the independence of the MFI beneficiaries through guidance and counseling as well as the development and enhancement of partnerships in business activities MFI beneficiaries in an effort to add value-added production. keyword: Gema Sejahtera; Micro Finance Institution; the effectiveness of aid delivery