Azerbaijanian Journal of Economics and Social Studies

6-23

Authors: Hamza Khalilov

Agriculture is the traditional production field of Azerbaijan. Vine-growing silkworm-breeding and fruit-growing fields are widely spread here since ancient times. As the great part of the country territory has mountainous relief, cattle breeding has always played important role in the life of people living here. The agriculture and agricultural processing sector provide more than a half of non oil exportation.The volume of production in agriculture, including plant growing and animal husbandry, is increased in recent years. The current situation of sustainable agricultural production in Azerbaijan is analysed and recommendations for improvements put forward in this article. Keywords: Azerbaijan, agriculture, sustainable, subsidy, resources

39-55

Authors: Elnur Aliyev

Have been learned European Countries’ nuts import dynamics and geographic structure, import procedure and rules, import duties and taxes of nuts, the same time expanding ways of Azerbaijan’s nut export to these markets in this paper. The same time, have been investigated advantages and disadvantages of Azerbaijan origin nuts in the EU markets and have been put forward with increasing of its’ competitiveness for export diversification as well as the increasing of non-oil export. Key words: European Countries, nuts, export potential, export geography, Exporter Unions of Nuts.

61-71

Authors: Arzu Huseyn

Tourism is one of the main priorities in the socio-economic and intensive development of the country. Also, it is a powerful tool in the region's economic development, poverty reduction, population migrations, especially from remote villages, and in increasing the tax revenues into the state budget. In the article the history of tourism, international tourism growth, the development indicators of tourism in the world economy, the country's tourism potential opportunities were analyzed and the study of current challenges in this field was conducted. Keywords: travel, tourism, GDP, employment, tourism revenues, the average annual growth rate.

77-86

Authors: Saqib Shakeel Abbasi , Irum Raza , M.Saleem Abid

The major crops under this study are Wheat, Rice (Basmati and IRRI). These two crops are the basis requirements of every household. Price trends during different periods have been analyzed in this study. Different models have been applied to get the best fitted model and further it was used for forecasting purposes for the next five years i.e from 2013-2017. These models were linear trend model, quadratic trend model, exponential growth model and S – curve model. The minimum values of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Mean Squared Deviation (MSD) have been acquired and then the forecasting was made for the best fitted model with minimum of error. Five year average of the prices for the individual crop(s) was also calculated to observe the past trend. The study demonstrates that for Wheat and Rice (basmati & IRRI); S – Curve model was recommended model for forecasting price in next five years. The study presents an insight to national policy makers regarding the essential crops and provides them with a reference range of price in future. Keywords: Price Forecasting, Wheat, Rice, Agricultural Commodities, Pakistan.

99-115

Authors: Sahib Аliyev, Famil Ahmedov

Исследовано формирование государственных продовольственных фондов, как составной части обеспечения продовольственной безопасности в республике и ее значительная роль в решении проблемы. Выявлено, что государственные продовольственные фонды созданы только для зерна и есть необходимость в увеличении их ассортимента. Опираясь на практику зарубежных стран, предложено создание государственных резервных фондов для основных пищевых продуктов, особенно для стран, находящихся в условиях войны. Проанализировано возможность использования имеющихся логистических центров, холодильных складов и камер хранения, для первичной организации продовольственных фондов и даны предложения в этом направлении. В статье также излагаются взгляды на объемы новых формирующихся государственных продовольственных фондов. Ключевые слова: продовольственные запасы, продовольственная безопасность, фонд зерна, продовольственные балансы, зерновые хранилища, логистические центры, продовольственные фонды.